Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.024112 0.029124 0.034387 0.040284 0.046665 0.053328 0.060775
2026-02-01 0.016303 0.023169 0.030926 0.040134 0.050591 0.061949 0.075081
2026-02-08 0.010486 0.017867 0.026857 0.038113 0.051420 0.066323 0.083985
2026-02-15 0.007090 0.014626 0.024504 0.037453 0.053262 0.071383 0.093245
2026-02-22 0.005128 0.012783 0.023512 0.038118 0.056398 0.077712 0.103755
2026-03-01 0.003700 0.011333 0.022770 0.038887 0.059493 0.083863 0.113946
2026-03-08 0.002790 0.010457 0.022657 0.040343 0.063338 0.090829 0.125029
2026-03-15 0.001930 0.009375 0.022080 0.041064 0.066176 0.096524 0.134563
2026-03-22 0.001780 0.009697 0.023602 0.044623 0.072607 0.106561 0.149236
2026-03-29 0.000946 0.008077 0.021918 0.043636 0.073127 0.109342 0.155234
2026-04-05 0.000555 0.007296 0.021464 0.044295 0.075720 0.114619 0.164178
2026-04-12 0.000232 0.006329 0.020558 0.044220 0.077291 0.118591 0.171521
2026-04-19 0.000060 0.005566 0.019972 0.044667 0.079673 0.123744 0.180521
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004731 0.019127 0.044672 0.081448 0.128146 0.188643
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003410 0.017011 0.042556 0.080227 0.128682 0.191975
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002649 0.015871 0.041861 0.080881 0.131547 0.198118
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002303 0.015620 0.042565 0.083464 0.136866 0.207275
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002017 0.015453 0.043380 0.086184 0.142352 0.216633
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001900 0.015721 0.044920 0.089932 0.149166 0.227640
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001652 0.015548 0.045683 0.092557 0.154516 0.236823
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001958 0.017097 0.049440 0.099492 0.165487 0.253018
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001418 0.015908 0.048398 0.099502 0.167420 0.257937
2026-06-28 NaN 0.001216 0.015727 0.049094 0.102003 0.172596 0.266896